Prediction Market Odds: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

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It is a {category} prediction market where you back the outcome you expect for “{event}”. The odds move in real time with news and demand, and the market settles once the outcome is confirmed under its rules.

{leader} is currently the likeliest outcome at {chance}. The figure updates live, so check the market for the latest odds before you decide.

The market is scheduled to end on {endDate}. Its rules explain exactly how and when it settles, so read them on the market page before you take a position.

Create an account, fund it with crypto, then open the market and pick your outcome. Confirm your stake in the bet slip and follow the odds until the market settles. If you are new, our complete user guide for new players walks through each step.

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December 31 is currently the likeliest outcome for “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)” at 79.5%. Pick your side and follow the odds live until the market is scheduled to end on 31 Aralık 2026.

Prediction Market Odds: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Bet on the Outcome: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

The “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)” market is open on BiggerZ, and December 31 is currently the likeliest outcome at 79.5%. Odds reflect what the crowd expects right now and move as news breaks, so the picture can change quickly. The market is scheduled to end on 31 Aralık 2026. Pick the outcome you believe in, follow the live odds, and manage everything from the BiggerZ crypto-first betting platform, where the same account also opens the online casino.

Want to compare? Explore more prediction markets on BiggerZ.

What Is the “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)” Market?

This is a Politics prediction market: a live market built around one question about a real-world event. You back the outcome you think is most likely, and the odds show how the crowd rates each option at the moment. Each market follows its own resolution rules, which state what counts as a result and when the market settles.

How to Read the Odds

Right now, December 31 leads at 79.5%. Read that figure as the crowd's current estimate of how likely the outcome is, not as a promise. A higher percentage means the crowd sees the outcome as more likely, and a lower one means it sees it as less likely. The numbers shift whenever new information changes expectations, so the favorite today may not be the favorite next week.

How to Trade the “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)” Market

  1. Check the odds. See who or what leads and how the other outcomes compare.
  2. Pick your outcome. Back the one you expect.
  3. Follow the market. Watch the odds move live as the story develops.
  4. Wait for the result. The market settles once the outcome is confirmed under its rules.

New to the format? Read about how prediction markets launched on BiggerZ, or follow our beginner's guide to getting started from sign-up to your first bet.

What Could Move the Odds

  • News and announcements. Official statements, results and breaking stories can shift expectations within minutes.
  • Data and scheduled events. Releases, votes, deadlines and meetings often act as turning points.
  • Public sentiment. As more people take a side, the odds adjust to reflect the crowd.
  • The end date. The market is scheduled to end on 31 Aralık 2026, and the odds tend to sharpen as that date gets closer. Always check the market rules for exactly how and when it settles.

Why Follow This Market on BiggerZ?

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Prediction markets, the sportsbook and the casino share one wallet. Between checking on “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)”, you can jump into crypto casino games without starting over.

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Check our promotions to see which offers are live, and join the BiggerZ VIP program for tiered perks as your activity grows. Always read each offer's terms to confirm whether it applies to prediction markets.

When You Want a Change of Pace

While the odds move, the rest of the platform is a click away. Spin crypto slots, sit at a table in the live dealer casino, or try our original casino games. See what players are enjoying right now in popular casino games, discover the latest casino games, compare payouts with the live RTP tracker, or compete for a prize pool in our casino tournaments.

Predict Responsibly

The “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)” market is entertainment, not a guaranteed source of income, and no amount of research removes the risk of losing. Set a budget before you start, and only stake what you can afford to lose. Our responsible gambling tips explain how to set limits and spot the warning signs. You must be 18 or older, and availability depends on your country of residence.

Hakkında: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Bitiş: 31 Aralık 2026 · Politics

Sonuçlar ve oranlar

SonuçOlasılıkOran
December 31%79,51,15
November 30%64,51,42
November 22%59,51,54
November 15%442,09

Sonuçlandırma kuralları

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (Iran Standard Time) after the most recent qualifying military action. Military actions occurring before market creation are not qualifying military actions. Where no qualifying military action has occurred after market creation, the first day of the 14-day period will be the date of market creation (Iran Standard Time). The period runs through 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the 14th calendar day. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Iran” refers to the terrestrial territory of Iran, including its internal waters. Iran’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. To allow for the reporting of any qualifying military action occurring within a 14-day period, that period will not be considered completed until 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the third calendar date following its 14th day; only qualifying military actions occurring within the 14-day period will be considered for that period. If multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a potentially-qualifying incident at that time, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.