Prediction Market Odds: Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

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December 31 is currently the likeliest outcome for “Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)” at 39.5%. Pick your side and follow the odds live until the market is scheduled to end on 2027年1月1日.

Prediction Market Odds: Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

Bet on the Outcome: Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

The “Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)” market is open on BiggerZ, and December 31 is currently the likeliest outcome at 39.5%. Odds reflect what the crowd expects right now and move as news breaks, so the picture can change quickly. The market is scheduled to end on 2027年1月1日. Pick the outcome you believe in, follow the live odds, and manage everything from the BiggerZ crypto-first betting platform, where the same account also opens the online casino.

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What Is the “Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)” Market?

This is a Politics prediction market: a live market built around one question about a real-world event. You back the outcome you think is most likely, and the odds show how the crowd rates each option at the moment. Each market follows its own resolution rules, which state what counts as a result and when the market settles.

How to Read the Odds

Right now, December 31 leads at 39.5%. Read that figure as the crowd's current estimate of how likely the outcome is, not as a promise. A higher percentage means the crowd sees the outcome as more likely, and a lower one means it sees it as less likely. The numbers shift whenever new information changes expectations, so the favorite today may not be the favorite next week.

How to Trade the “Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)” Market

  1. Check the odds. See who or what leads and how the other outcomes compare.
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  4. Wait for the result. The market settles once the outcome is confirmed under its rules.

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What Could Move the Odds

  • News and announcements. Official statements, results and breaking stories can shift expectations within minutes.
  • Data and scheduled events. Releases, votes, deadlines and meetings often act as turning points.
  • Public sentiment. As more people take a side, the odds adjust to reflect the crowd.
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Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle) について

2027年1月1日 終了 · Politics

結果とオッズ

結果確率オッズ
December 3139.5%–
November 3024%–

決済ルール

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis capture Taiz, Yemen between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. The Houthis will be considered to have captured Taiz if the Houthis have established primary military control over Al-Qahira Castle (Cairo Castle) in Taiz city. The Houthis having established primary military control over an area of Taiz city encompassing Al-Qahira Castle will be sufficient, unless credible reporting indicates the castle itself remains outside Houthi control. Primary military control must be clearly demonstrated by this market’s resolution sources to qualify. Control which is credibly contested or disputed, or not clearly evidenced, will not qualify. Temporary raids, infiltration, isolated incursions, special operations, bombardment, shelling, sabotage, siege or encirclement of the city, or temporary disruption of government activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of capture will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual Houthi control has been established. If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying capture cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date. If Houthi control as defined above is not confirmed by this market’s resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Only control established on or before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, will be considered. The primary resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and photo or video evidence of Houthi control.